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AVALONPLUS is a rule-based EOD strategy on MES/ES Futures with underlying SP500 index (SPX).

Why this exists

The question that started AVALONPLUS.

The question this project tried to answer wasn't "can a system beat the market." It was something narrower and, to me, more useful:

Can a trader with limited capital, given enough discipline, achieve compounding returns that meaningfully outpace long-only investing?

The honest answer required two ingredients:

Leveraged Instruments & Reinvesting

The capital dilemma

Ambitious traders with smaller accounts (≤ $10K) face a recurring problem. Stay safe with long-only and the account moves slowly enough that patience runs out and the trader reaches for too much risk anyway. Or accept high leverage from the start and risk total ruin during the first bad streak. Neither outcome compounds capital. The trader stays stuck.

What the system tries to do

AVALONPLUS is the attempt to minimize the path to ruin — minimize, not eliminate; it cannot — while keeping the door to compounding open. The signal logic is fully mechanical, the parameters are fixed, the entries and exits are rule-based.

About the developer

I'm Frank Gärtner, the developer behind AVALONPLUS — an independent software developer based in Austria, trading futures with my own capital. I built this system because I wanted to solve the dilemma above for myself first — and, honestly, to buy back more time. Long breakfasts with my wife in Austrian coffee houses. Time to play bass.

Subscribers receive the exact same signals I take in my own account, on the same instrument (MES/ES), with the same execution timing (next-bar open after the EOD signal).

If any of this resonates — or if you disagree with the premise — the contact form is open.

Read the Methodology Report Try the Android Beta
30 days free · No credit card · Android 7.0+ · Cancel anytime
Is this for you?

Suitable if

  • Risk capital that can be completely lost
  • Willingness to consistently reinvest profits
  • Rule-based trading even during drawdown phases
  • Trend-following approach with short component desired

Not suitable if

  • Capital with a planned use within 5–10 years
  • Exit during drawdown >20% likely
  • Regular profit withdrawal planned
  • Daily trading signals expected

What you get in the app
Six modules, one consistent framework. All of them work offline once data is synced.

Live Dashboard & Signal Status

Current SPX signal status (L1 / S1 / L2) and model health indicators. Daily signal published 16:05 ET via the app. Email delivery optional.

Backtester — 1963 to Present

Walk through every trade since 1963 with full cost modeling: commission, slippage, tax, financing. Filter by instrument, era, or custom range. Toggle reinvest on/off.

Equity & Drawdown Charts

Zoomable equity and underwater drawdown charts with EMA-137 overlay. Switch between SPX, ES, and MES. Compare reinvest vs. fixed-size side by side.

Risk Visualizer

MAE-based position sizing, visualized interactively. Shows the relationship between entry price, stop distance, account size, and contract count before you place a trade.

Monte Carlo Simulation

10,000 bootstrap simulations on the actual trade sequence. Equity fan chart, drawdown distribution, percentile bands. Separates structural edge from random sequencing.

Trade Log & Cost Breakdown

Every trade card shows entry/exit dates, gross P&L, transaction costs, tax, and net result. Year-end summary tiles. Export trades to CSV.

App screenshots
All screens from the current Android beta build.
Dashboard — Signal Status
Dashboard · Signal Status
Equity Chart
Equity Chart
Risk Visualizer — MAE Sizing
Risk Visualizer · MAE Sizing
Backtester — Stats & Details
Backtester · Stats & Details
Backtester — Trade Log
Backtester · Trade Log
How it works
From signal to trade, four steps. No intraday monitoring required.
1

Signal generation

The server runs the AVALONPLUS model at the close (16:00 ET) and publishes L1 / S1 / L2 signals at 16:05 ET. Delivered via the app.

2

Risk sizing

Open the Risk Visualizer, enter your account size and current SPX level. The MAE model returns a contract count for ES or MES.

3

Execute at the open

Entries are at the next session's open. Stops are placed at signal time. The system is fully mechanical — no discretion required.

4

Review

Track live and historical trades in the app. Reconcile fills against the backtest. Export the trade log if you want to audit yourself.


Two ways to evaluate this

Most pro traders read the methodology first. If the math checks out, the beta is the next step.

Read the Methodology Report Try the Android Beta
30 days free · No credit card · Cancel anytime · Android 7.0+